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2024-12-14 12:35:19

Colombia's consumer confidence index in November was -5.7, and the forecast was -4.8.Cross-border communication: 1% of the company's shares held by the company's largest shareholder and its concerted action plan to be enforced. Cross-border communication (002640) announced on the evening of December 11 that Yang Jianxin, the company's largest shareholder and its concerted action person, Xinyu Ruijing Enterprise Management Service Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Xinyu Ruijing") may be forced to enforce the cross-border communication shares held by them due to a dispute over equity pledge debt. Three days after the disclosure of the announcement, The price of this enforcement is determined according to the market price at the time of reduction.In November, the CPI of the United States hit its biggest increase in seven months, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates next week. The consumer price index of the United States recorded its biggest increase in seven months in November, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates for the third time next week in the context of the cooling job market. Data show that CPI rose by 0.3% last month, the biggest increase since April, after the index rose by 0.2% for four consecutive months. The year-on-year growth rate of CPI rose by 2.7% after rising by 2.6% in October. Compared with the peak of 9.1% in June 2022, the year-on-year growth rate of inflation has slowed down significantly. Nevertheless, in recent months, the process of reducing the inflation rate to the Fed's 2% target has actually stalled. However, the Fed is now more concerned about the labor market. Although employment growth accelerated in November after being severely disturbed by strikes and hurricanes in October, the unemployment rate accelerated to 4.2% after staying at 4.1% for two consecutive months.


After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Market News: Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips. Apple chips may be ready for production in 2026.JPMorgan Chase downgraded C3.ai(AI.N), saying that the cost of artificial intelligence games is too high.


Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.France urges Israel to withdraw from the Syrian buffer zone.Report: In 2024, the revenue of e-sports industry in China exceeded 27.5 billion yuan. According to the 2024 China E-sports Industry Report released on the 11th, the number of e-sports users in China reached 490 million in 2024, up by 0.42% year-on-year. The actual sales revenue of e-sports industry has reached 27.568 billion yuan, up 4.62% year-on-year.

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